This is my personal projection for the upcoming election. I know, I know...there are many things in flux right now. And there are numerous states that may go one way or the other -- I call those BiExual States.
A quick rundown and personal thoughts: Florida and North Carolina -- It's the South, folks. Think about it. It is not the year 2008 in many parts of our country. Missouri -- Nearly always goes Red and I will err on the side of the GOP, unfortunately. Virginia -- I'm giving it to the Dems this time around based on the sheer number of new Dems in the northern suburbs. Nevada and Colorado -- Again, history says they are going Red and I don't want to overinflate Obama's map. If he wins them, it'll be the icing on the cake. New Mexico -- I'm giving it to the Blue Boys. Ohio -- I think we all know that it's a big Red stronghold...again, I'm erring on the side of conservative. And my map projection doesn't require Ohio for Obama to win. Pennsylvania -- Blue Boys!
I follow the individual state polls carefully. I watch numbers of people moving in and out of individual counties. And I know full well that this nation believes we're headed in the wrong direction...and we are! But I also know that we are a nation of emotionally-driven people. We spout off. We're reactive, not responsive. We say we're going to do one thing and then do another -- and that's where things get scary with polls and such. Remember when we all thought that John Kerry had things wrapped up....and then the evening began to turn Red. Unfortunately. And there are several presidents that have turned around and won when the other guy had a double-digit lead. So, I'm being conservative in my projections. I've given Virginia and New Mexico to Obama....and hope he holds them. But the biggies like Florida and Ohio I'm keeping Red for now. In spite of the polls. I know how things can end up dramatically different than we expect. So, my excitement actually makes me feel good...that I am being pretty conservative and Obama STILL wins. And that makes me feel rreeeeeaaaallllyyyy good. My apologies for the map not being able to be seen completely....I wish I were more computer savvy, but I'm just not. I'm projecting Obama with 277 electoral votes and McCain with 261....you can't see that on the map, unfortunately.